Comparison of projected dates
Best case (late exhaustion)
- 2014 ( for 83 x /8s )
- 2017 ( for 107 x /8s )
Most likely case
- Q3 2006 ( for 83 x /8s )
- Q1 2007 ( for 107 x /8s )
Worst case (early exhaust)
- mid 2005 ( for 83 x /8s )
- mid 2006 ( for 107 x /8s )
1.3 global increase per annum
- Q1 2007 ( for 83 x /8s )
- Q4 2007 ( for 107 x /8s )
Note - a best case of a constant 6 x /8s per annum
gives dates of 2014 & 2018
1.5 global increase per annum
- mid 2005 ( for 83 x /8s )
- Q1 2006 ( for 107 x /8s )
1.8 global increase per annum
- mid 2004 ( for 83 x /8s )
- Q1 2005 ( for 107 x /8s )